Electric car too "distant" internal combustion engine solution "near thirsty"
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With technology and ancillary facilities still far from perfect, the goal of achieving good goals is not reliable. The deep meaning behind the strategic adjustment of China and the United States and the re-targeting of the industry deserves the attention of the industry.
Not coincidentally, the world’s two largest automotive countries—China and the United States—have invariably made more pragmatic choices in the future of car energy. Earlier this month, the U.S. Department of Energy announced that it had revised existing routes for new energy vehicles to abandon the original quantified sales targets. At the same time, the General Office of the State Council issued the “Opinions on Strengthening Energy-saving and Emission Reduction of the Internal-combustion Engine Industry†for the internal combustion engine industry. The energy conservation and emission reduction put forward higher requirements.
It should be said that humankind has been conducting a selection of energy sources for automobiles for a century, from electric vehicles to hydrogen kinetic energy. However, various promising new energy vehicles have not achieved practical results. Especially electric vehicles, from the extreme warming in the short-term to the final silence, repeat the historical endless cycle. The Chinese and U.S. governments have also finally realized that the goals of achieving good goals are not reliable, given that technology and supporting facilities are still far from perfect. The deep meaning behind the strategic adjustment and retargeting of new energy vehicles deserves the attention of the industry.
Electric vehicles have not seen improvement
It should be said that the domestic government has made great efforts to promote the popularization and application of electric vehicles. From 2009 to 2011, the Ministry of Science and Technology, the Ministry of Finance, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology jointly issued a number of policies to carry out demonstration operations. Quantify electric vehicle sales targets. But it is disappointing that the development of electric vehicles is slow. Last year, domestic consumers only purchased 11,375 electric vehicles, which is still far below the government's target.
In fact, it is not just China that has encountered electric vehicles. In the past year, pure electric vehicles sold in the US market accounted for only 0.1% of total sales. The US Department of Energy has therefore been forced to say that the government’s previously established goal of achieving 1 million electric vehicle sales in the United States by 2015 will be abandoned.
From Toyota to Volkswagen's multinational companies, even the most optimistic projections, electric vehicle sales will account for at most 5% of the total sales by 2020, which makes the once strong corporate representatives also retired. Nissan Motor Co., which had promised to invest 5 billion U.S. dollars in the development of electric vehicles and batteries, made adjustments to the original strategy. Nissan Motors CEO Carlos Ghosn once said with ambition that electric vehicles will account for 10% of the entire automotive market by 2020, reaching 6 million vehicles per year or more. Now he said that Nissan will tilt more resources to hybrid vehicles.
Under harsh environmental pollution, people are hoping to replace fuel vehicles with cleaner ones, but the possibility of electric vehicles is constantly decreasing. On the one hand, the above-mentioned embarrassing reality has broken people's illusions about electric vehicles; on the other hand, In the domestic energy structure, thermal power is still the bulk of power sources. If you do not manage the environment from the source, relying solely on zero-emissions of an electric vehicle, it is obviously impossible to realize the original intention of managing the environment.
Smoky day forced technology upgrade
According to the "Opinions on Strengthening the Energy-saving and Emission-reduction of the Internal Combustion Engine Industry" issued by the General Office of the State Council, by 2015, energy-saving internal combustion engine products will account for 60% of the entire society's internal combustion engine product; compared with 2010, the fuel consumption rate of internal combustion engines will be reduced by 6%. ~10%. Achieve 20 million tons of commodity fuel savings, reduce CO2 emissions by 62 million tons, reduce nitrogen oxide emissions by 10%, and use alternative fuels to save 15 million tons of commodity fuel.
This is also the first comprehensive guidance issued by the State Council in the name of the State Council to promote the upgrading of traditional internal combustion engine technology. Industry experts commented that 67% of China's motor vehicle power still uses conventional internal combustion engine power. Reducing the emissions of conventional internal combustion engines is crucial to environmental protection. At the same time, it will bring real benefits to the development of the Chinese automobile industry.
It is worth noting that the Opinions set clear targets for reducing nitrogen oxide emissions, which is not unrelated to the haze that has ravaged northern China since the beginning of the year. In January this year, a total of five powerful pollution processes took place in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. Throughout January, a total of 22 days of PM2.5 exceeded national-level standards. The air pollution situation in Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei is very serious.
It can be said that, to a great extent, severe air pollution has accelerated the government's determination to improve the efficiency of existing internal combustion engines.
China's new energy must be multiple paths
By the end of the first quarter of this year, the domestic car ownership will exceed 100 million; while the current development forecast, even if the annual sales volume will maintain 20 million vehicles, the car ownership may reach 200 million by 2020, if the state controls Oil imports do not exceed 60% of demand, and 200 million have no fuel guarantee. Therefore, the diversification of automotive energy has become a pressing issue.
Because China's primary energy structure is very unreasonable. Coal is the main energy source in China and accounts for 76% of primary energy production. Coal can cause serious environmental pollution. Although electric vehicles themselves do not emit emissions, 70% of domestic electricity generation depends on coal, which is equivalent to transferring exhaust pipe emissions. To the big chimney, there is still no solution to the problem of atmospheric pollution.
Therefore, forcing China's new energy vehicle path must turn to a diversified path, instead of sticking to electric vehicles, it should also include traditional petroleum fuels, natural gas, and biomass energy.
It should be said that domestic automobile enterprises have invested heavily in new energy vehicles in the past few years, but they have neglected to upgrade traditional power technologies. Some local automakers have begun to pay attention to independent development, with special emphasis on the design capabilities of automotive engine products, but they have not really been involved in the development of fuel-powered technologies. In contrast, before the year 2000, the U.S. Department of Energy received a large amount of funds each year to support the development of in-cylinder direct-injection gasoline engines. After 2000, it strongly supported the study of homogeneous compression-ignition engines and diesel engines. The EU and British governments have also come up with large amounts of funds to support the development of homogeneous compression and high-speed diesel engines.
Industry experts commented that new energy vehicles are not able to hydrolyze near thirst, and when new energy vehicles can be popularized beyond people's expectations, in this process, if the average fuel consumption of automobiles is reduced by 25%, not only will China’s dependence on imported oil be greatly reduced, At the same time it will be feasible to reduce air pollution.