2017 heavy truck market: the second half of the downward pressure on the liberation of the champion

According to the data from the China Automobile Association, from January to June 2017, the production and sales of heavy trucks were 571,400 and 583,700, an increase of 68.11% and 71.51% year-on-year, an increase of 53.85 percentage points and 56.35 percentage points from the same period of last year. Among them, the production and sales of semi-trailer tractors were 301,000 and 319,900, an increase of 76.56% and 91.92% respectively. The increase was 44.29 percentage points and 60.66 percentage points higher than the same period of last year, and the growth rate was even more pronounced.

Corporate performance in the first half of the year: FAW Liberation won half-time champion

In the first half of the heavy truck sales in the first half of the company's progress in more than half of the year, has completed the sales target set at the beginning of more than 40%.

The No. 1 sales volume of FAW Jiefang in the first half of the year was 131,000 units, an increase of 84.4% year-on-year, with a market share of 22.44%. On June 22nd, Wang Zhicai, general manager and secretary of the party committee of FAW Jiefang Automobile Sales Co., Ltd. announced that FAW Jiefang adjusted its 2017 sales target from the originally set number of 227,000 vehicles to 235,000 units, and its market share target was originally set at 20.5% to 21%. . According to the new sales target of FAW Jiefang, the annual target completion rate has dropped from 57.71% to 55.74%. FAW's liberation continues to pressurize itself, and it also shows extraordinary confidence.

Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle sold 111,000 units in the first half of the year, ranking 7th with a year-on-year increase of 70.2%. It completed 82.83% of its annual sales target of 134,000 units. In the first half of the year, its sales volume ranked second in the industry. China National Heavy Duty Truck sold 99,000 heavy trucks in the first half of the year, ranking the third in the industry with a year-on-year increase of 74.9%.

Shaanxi Automobile Heavy Trucks ranked 4th in sales in the first half of the year, up by 80.5% year-on-year. Liu Xin, Deputy General Manager of the sales company, disclosed to the reporter of China Commercial Vehicles Network that Shaanxi Automobile Heavy Trucks' annual target had been adjusted from 95,000 units to 130,000 units. Although the degree of completion has dropped from 92.63% of “excellent” to 67.69% of “pass”, it is enough to show the self-confidence and courage of Shaanxi Auto Heavy Truck.

Fukuda Daimler ranked fifth in terms of half-year sales of 56,000 units, an increase of 44.7% year-on-year, and the target of 90,000 vehicles for the year was 62.22%. Futian Auman has ushered in a milestone moment for millions of offline products. The new product EST Super Truck has achieved production of over 10,000 yuan in only three months. In the commercial vehicle industry for order production, it is not easy to achieve such a short time. . In the second half of the market competition, Futian Auman EST, EST-A, new ETX and GTL2017 models will become the main force of Futian Auman.

JAC ranked the sixth with 32,000, a 47.8% year-on-year increase. The goal of 64,000 vehicles in the year was 50% complete. Over half of the time, the task was more than half.

SAIC Hongyan ranked seventh in sales for the first half of the year, an increase of 149.7% year-on-year, and the industry rose first. At the business annual meeting held at the beginning of the year, SAIC Hongyan announced that its annual sales target was 28,000 vehicles, and the annual completion of the target was calculated to reach 71.42%. However, it is reported that SAIC Hongyan will increase its annual sales target to 30,000 vehicles. Above, this can not help but reminds people of SAIC's Vice President Lan Qingsong’s spur on SAIC's Hongyan’s “Hands with big sticks” at SAIC Motor Corporation. SAIC Hongyan is demonstrating a “step forward” style through a series of practical actions. .

The eighth to tenth places are Grand Canal, Valin and Beiben, respectively, and the annual sales target is about 40%.

Market Performance in the Second Half: Downward Pressure

According to the analysis data of CAAM, the growth rate of commercial vehicles in the first half of the year was good, which led to the growth of the overall auto market. Heavy trucks, which are the main growth categories in the commercial vehicle industry, are particularly noticeable. China Commercial Vehicles Reporter believes that this is mainly because the new GB1589 revision was finally settled in the last year, resulting in the heavy-duty truck industry in the first half of 2016 has been in a wait-and-see period, resulting in a lower sales base for the entire heavy-duty truck industry, thus forming a year-on-year comparison with sales in the first half of this year. The growth rate has obviously increased.

Throughout the first half of 2017, the heavy-duty truck market remained at a high level. In the first quarter of the traditional off-season sales, the heavy truck sales in January and February rose by 122% and 152% over the same period of last year due to the continued strong situation in the fourth quarter of last year and the “transport boom”. %, sales of 115,000 units in March were the highest peak in the first half of the year. The half-year sales of 583,700 units exceeded the 600,000 units that had exceeded one million vehicles in the first half of 2010.

Whether the heavy-duty truck market can continue its booming situation in the first half of the year or will be determined largely by the heavy truck downstream market. At a press conference held by the State Council Information Office recently, relevant leaders of the SASAC stated that the task of reducing the coal production capacity issued by the State Council this year has not yet been completed and the work will be steadily advanced in the second half of the year. In addition, ports such as Tianjin and Hebei will no longer accept highways. The impact of negative factors such as coal transportation will only face downward pressure on the coal transportation market.

In addition, due to the fact that the freight rate increase brought by 9.21 overhaul last year was already over, the freight rate of the road transport market will increase or decrease as the freight rate continues to drop and the heavy truck users are underemployed. At the same time, from July 1st onwards, the four vehicles on the National IV emission vehicle will be suspended, which will also bring pressure to the heavy truck market.

In the special-purpose vehicle market, as a large number of infrastructure construction continues to be launched, key projects such as the construction of the Xiong'an New District will be promoted in an orderly manner, and the special-purpose vehicle market composed of dump trucks will continue to enjoy favorable conditions. At the same time, all commercial vehicle companies should also look abroad for investment. With the gradual progress of various projects under the “One Belt and One Road” initiative, overseas markets may also be able to bring about sales.

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